空间碎片的多级碰撞

Multi-Stage Space Debris Collision

研究空间碎片在低轨环境中的多级碰撞链式反应机制,建立碎片演化的动力学模型,预测碰撞级联效应对轨道环境的长期影响。

空间碎片 多级碰撞 链式反应 动力学模型 低轨环境 Space Debris Multi-Stage Collision Chain Reaction Kinetic Model LEO

研究方法与技术路线Methodology & Technical Approach

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数据获取与处理

Data Acquisition & Processing

从公开空间目标目录(如 Space-Track)获取 TLE 轨道数据,经 SGP4 传播器处理,提取接近事件特征。

Acquiring TLE orbital data from public space object catalogs (e.g., Space-Track), processing via SGP4 propagator, and extracting conjunction event features.

Space-Track / SGP4
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特征工程与建模

Feature Engineering & Modeling

构建高维碰撞特征空间,应用时空注意力网络(STAN)捕捉轨道状态序列中的关键模式,实现碰撞概率的精准预测。

Constructing high-dimensional collision feature spaces, applying Spatio-Temporal Attention Networks (STAN) to capture key patterns in orbital state sequences for precise collision probability prediction.

STAN / Transformer

决策与验证

Decision & Validation

基于多级避碰决策框架,输出最优规避策略。通过高保真仿真和历史事件回溯测试,验证模型的有效性和鲁棒性。

Outputting optimal avoidance strategies based on a multi-stage collision avoidance decision framework. Validating model effectiveness and robustness through high-fidelity simulation and historical event back-testing.

Simulation / Back-testing

关键成果Key Results

2

已发表论文

Published Papers

2

进行中论文

Papers in Progress

65%

实验进度

Experiment Progress

2/3
模型开发
Development

研究阶段

Research Phase

Related Publications相关论文 (2)

Learning-based framework for multistage space debris collision warning and avoidance

Liwen Yang, Jikai Wang, Ming Xu, Xue Bai

Aerospace Science and Technology 2026 DOI PDF

Low-orbit Space Debris Warning and Autonomous Collision Avoidance for Space Environment Governance

Liwen Yang, Jikai Wang, Jun Jiang, Xue Bai, Ming Xu

Journal of Physics: Conference Series (EESE 2024) 2025 DOI PDF